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Thursday 17 September 2020


Tina Fordham

Partner & Head of Global Political Strategy at Avonhurst

Shock of the New: Are markets mis-pricing political risk in the pandemic era?

The disconnect between financial markets outperformance, proliferating political risks and a lacklustre global economic outlook has widened over the course of 2020. Are investors right to be sanguine?
How might 2H event risks like US elections play out on the night, and what are the international implications? Do protests and populists actually matter for markets? How should investors think about abstract concepts like state capacity, leadership, social cohesion and mis/dis-information?

Tina Fordham

Tina is a leading thinker and practitioner in the field of political analysis for financial markets. She is a partner and head of Global Political Strategy at Avonhurst and a member of the international advisory board at Cambridge University Centre for Geopolitics. She was previously at Citi for 17 years, where she was the first Chief Global Political Analyst on Wall Street.
In 2016 she was appointed to the first United Nations’ High-Level Panel on Women’s’ Economic Empowerment, and has served as Senior Adviser in the UK Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit. In 1999 she founded Eurasia Group’s financial markets research business, leading the creation of firm’s emerging political stability index and European expansion.